Timbercreek Financial Corp Stock Performance

TF Stock  CAD 7.13  0.09  1.28%   
Timbercreek Financial has a performance score of 17 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.15, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Timbercreek Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Timbercreek Financial is expected to be smaller as well. Timbercreek Financial right now has a risk of 0.85%. Please validate Timbercreek Financial expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Timbercreek Financial will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timbercreek Financial Corp are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Timbercreek Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.098
Payout Ratio
0.5395
Forward Dividend Rate
0.69
Dividend Date
2026-02-13
Ex Dividend Date
2026-01-30
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Begin Period Cash Flow4.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities1.7 M
  

Timbercreek Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  636.00  in Timbercreek Financial Corp on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  77.00  from holding Timbercreek Financial Corp or generate 12.11% return on investment over 90 days. Timbercreek Financial Corp is currently producing 0.1881% returns and takes up 0.852% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 7% of traded stocks are less volatile than Timbercreek, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Timbercreek Financial is expected to generate 1.14 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Timbercreek Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Timbercreek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.13 90 days 7.13 
about 6.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timbercreek Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.68 (This Timbercreek Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of Timbercreek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Timbercreek Financial has a beta of 0.15. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Timbercreek Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Timbercreek Financial Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Timbercreek Financial Corp has an alpha of 0.1314, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Timbercreek Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Timbercreek Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timbercreek Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Timbercreek Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.287.137.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.116.967.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.177.037.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.140.160.15
Details

Timbercreek Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timbercreek Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timbercreek Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timbercreek Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timbercreek Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Timbercreek Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timbercreek Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timbercreek Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Timbercreek Financial Corp has accumulated about 2.83 M in cash with (69.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Dynamic Trading Report - Stock Traders Daily

Timbercreek Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Timbercreek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Timbercreek Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Timbercreek Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding83 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.3 M

Timbercreek Financial Fundamentals Growth

Timbercreek Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Timbercreek Financial, and Timbercreek Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Timbercreek Stock performance.

About Timbercreek Financial Performance

By examining Timbercreek Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Timbercreek Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Timbercreek Financial is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 614.49  377.94 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.06  0.05 

Things to note about Timbercreek Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Timbercreek Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Timbercreek Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Timbercreek Financial Corp has accumulated about 2.83 M in cash with (69.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Dynamic Trading Report - Stock Traders Daily
Evaluating Timbercreek Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Timbercreek Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Timbercreek Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Timbercreek Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Timbercreek Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Timbercreek Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Timbercreek Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Timbercreek Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Timbercreek Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Timbercreek Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Timbercreek Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Timbercreek Stock

Timbercreek Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timbercreek Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timbercreek with respect to the benefits of owning Timbercreek Financial security.